Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.67 – 229.16

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 361

Prediction correct · off by 79.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.4 ±12.2

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 55.21Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3464Sim-City

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 23.44Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 8.02Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 643.6 ±9.8

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 29.39Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 167.8Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 31.97Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5962, 3464, 6620

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5962, 3464, 6620

Auto

11.8 14%

Teleop

58.7 68%

Endgame

16.1 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4905, 6328, 3566

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4905, 6328, 3566

Auto

59.5 26%

Teleop

118.4 52%

Endgame

49.0 22%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86.7pts

Blue projected score229.2pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -142.5
Score range: 63–253
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 475 vs event baseline 134.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.4Season APEX643.6

11.8Auto59.5

58.7Teleop118.4

16.1Endgame49

0Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	92
teleop	45	134
endgame	40	110
foul	5	25
total	114	361

Result

Final score

114 – 361

Prediction correct · off by 79.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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