Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 137.24

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.6 ±12.2

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -5.7Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 6.42Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4169Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX -6.8Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.7 ±10.4

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 35.53Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 70.12Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 31.59Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5902, 8708, 4169

/ 100 compat

Projected

-6.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5902, 8708, 4169

Auto

-6.1 37%

Teleop

-10.6 63%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10063, 1119, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10063, 1119, 175

Auto

8.2 6%

Teleop

66.1 52%

Endgame

51.9 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-6.1pts

Blue projected score137.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -137.2
Score range: -24–161
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 134.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

170.6Season APEX334.7

-6.1Auto8.2

-10.6Teleop66.1

0Endgame51.9

32Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	23
teleop	19	99
endgame	22	54
foul	0	0
total	50	176

Result

Final score

50 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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