Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.82 – 254.29

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 67.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±10.4

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 33.17Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 8.67Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 6.98Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 507.8 ±10

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 15.83Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 196.25Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 42.21Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 175, 8708, 3182

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 175, 8708, 3182

Auto

14.8 33%

Teleop

37.4 84%

Endgame

-7.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3566, 3467, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3566, 3467, 157

Auto

49.9 20%

Teleop

135.4 55%

Endgame

62.0 25%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.8pts

Blue projected score254.3pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -205.5
Score range: 25–278
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 133.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.2Season APEX507.8

14.8Auto49.9

37.4Teleop135.4

-7.5Endgame62

27Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	81
teleop	31	211
endgame	10	91
foul	0	0
total	56	383

Result

Final score

56 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 67.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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