Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.49 – 140.87

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 74.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.1 ±11

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -11.95Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 15.05Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 23.39Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 507.1 ±10

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 3.63Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5347Gryphons

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 13.81Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 123.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5902, 1735, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5902, 1735, 4905

Auto

-4.0 0%

Teleop

-3.5 0%

Endgame

23.6 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3623, 5347, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3623, 5347, 1768

Auto

15.7 11%

Teleop

84.8 61%

Endgame

37.4 27%

Strengths

· 1768 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.5pts

Blue projected score140.9pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -114.4
Score range: 2–165
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 133.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.1Season APEX507.1

-4Auto15.7

-3.5Teleop84.8

23.6Endgame37.4

4Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	32
teleop	42	142
endgame	39	37
foul	0	5
total	101	216

Result

Final score

101 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 74.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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