Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.28 – 170.28

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.4 ±12.8

10393Foxborough High School

Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 17.57Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 58.07Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -26.36Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±11.4

9729Knights

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 41.55Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 119.36Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 9.37Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10393, 5962, 1099

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10393, 5962, 1099

Auto

14.3 34%

Teleop

24.1 58%

Endgame

3.5 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9729, 4909, 6620

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9729, 4909, 6620

Auto

40.1 24%

Teleop

90.5 54%

Endgame

37.6 22%

Strengths

· 4909 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.3pts

Blue projected score170.3pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121
Score range: 25–194
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 131.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.4Season APEX295.4

14.3Auto40.1

24.1Teleop90.5

3.5Endgame37.6

33Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	41
teleop	17	108
endgame	23	43
foul	0	0
total	61	192

Result

Final score

61 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.