Qualification · Qualification 39
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
140.75 – 339.03
8%92%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
141 – 423
Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.8 ±11
Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 63.48Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 35.38Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 41.89Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 717.5 ±8.8
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 2.65Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 145.88Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 190.5Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5422, 175, 157
67
/ 100 compatProjected
140.8 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5422, 175, 157
Auto
28.0 20%
Teleop
75.9 55%
Endgame
34.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8708, 6328, 3467
80
/ 100 compatProjected
339 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 8708, 6328, 3467
Auto
62.0 19%
Teleop
199.7 60%
Endgame
70.9 21%
Strengths
- · 3467 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score140.8pts
Blue projected score339pts
Red win probability8%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -198.3
- Score range
- 118–362
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
340.8Season APEX717.5
28Auto62
75.9Teleop199.7
34.3Endgame70.9
24Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 104 |
| teleop | 94 | 237 |
| endgame | 19 | 77 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 141 | 423 |
Result
Final score
141 – 423
Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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