Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 101.08

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

31 – 26

Prediction missed · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.1 ±12.2

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX -1.1Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -31.55Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -19.49Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±12.2

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 48.67Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10393Foxborough High School

Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 27.83Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 24.58Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3182, 1099, 5902

/ 100 compat

Projected

-52.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3182, 1099, 5902

Auto

-0.6 1%

Teleop

-41.8 75%

Endgame

-13.1 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1071, 10393, 2064

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1071, 10393, 2064

Auto

15.8 19%

Teleop

43.8 54%

Endgame

21.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-52.1pts

Blue projected score101.1pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.1
Score range: -24–125
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 57 vs event baseline 131.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.1Season APEX213.6

-0.6Auto15.8

-41.8Teleop43.8

-13.1Endgame21.9

34Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	13
teleop	15	5
endgame	10	8
foul	0	0
total	31	26

Result

Final score

31 – 26

Prediction missed · off by 53 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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