Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.2 – 333.06

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.1 ±11.7

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 22.75Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 3.69Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9729Knights

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 46.76Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 572.8 ±10

5347Gryphons

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 28.96Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 96.43Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 207.67Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4905, 3623, 9729

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.2 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4905, 3623, 9729

Auto

22.7 32%

Teleop

36.8 52%

Endgame

10.6 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5347, 8013, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5347, 8013, 3467

Auto

42.6 13%

Teleop

190.0 60%

Endgame

86.1 27%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.43 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.2pts

Blue projected score333.1pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -259.9
Score range: 49–357
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 131.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.1Season APEX572.8

22.7Auto42.6

36.8Teleop190

10.6Endgame86.1

51Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	38
teleop	22	112
endgame	14	78
foul	5	0
total	55	228

Result

Final score

55 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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