Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.09 – 124.04

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299.7 ±11

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 5.59Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 15.12Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 61.38Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274.1 ±11.4

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 106.46Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4169Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX -17.78Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 35.36Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6620, 1735, 5962

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6620, 1735, 5962

Auto

10.6 13%

Teleop

45.7 58%

Endgame

22.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4909, 4169, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

124 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4909, 4169, 157

Auto

41.9 37%

Teleop

51.6 45%

Endgame

20.3 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.1pts

Blue projected score124pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.9
Score range: 58–148
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 130.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299.7Season APEX274.1

10.6Auto41.9

45.7Teleop51.6

22.4Endgame20.3

0Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	40
teleop	38	93
endgame	24	60
foul	0	0
total	94	193

Result

Final score

94 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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