Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
78.48 – 16.58
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
82 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.4 ±12.1
Season APEX 42Event APEX 30.23Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 38.91Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 9.34Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 28.86Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX -23.81Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 11.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2064, 157, 6620
44
/ 100 compatProjected
78.5 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2064, 157, 6620
Auto
13.8 20%
Teleop
42.2 61%
Endgame
13.7 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5347, 4169, 9644
15
/ 100 compatProjected
16.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5347, 4169, 9644
Auto
-0.6 0%
Teleop
5.1 54%
Endgame
4.9 52%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 0.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score78.5pts
Blue projected score16.6pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 61.9
- Score range
- -7–102
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
181.4Season APEX331.5
13.8Auto-0.6
42.2Teleop5.1
13.7Endgame4.9
0Consistency69
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 9 |
| teleop | 24 | 32 |
| endgame | 28 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 82 | 60 |
Result
Final score
82 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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