Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

343.24 – 126.19

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

404 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 69 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 602.9 ±8.2

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 199.56Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 45.4Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 98.28Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.7 ±10.4

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 85.18Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 29.19Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 11.82Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3467, 1071, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 1071, 4909

Auto

66.8 20%

Teleop

188.8 55%

Endgame

86.3 25%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1119, 1735, 8708

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1119, 1735, 8708

Auto

2.1 2%

Teleop

64.7 55%

Endgame

50.3 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score343.2pts

Blue projected score126.2pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.1
Score range: 103–366
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 453 vs event baseline 127.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

602.9Season APEX282.7

66.8Auto2.1

188.8Teleop64.7

86.3Endgame50.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	6
teleop	231	23
endgame	70	5
foul	25	15
total	404	49

Result

Final score

404 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 69 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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