Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.98 – 280.05

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

9 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.3 ±12.2

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -18.74Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 11.71Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 34.01Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540 ±10

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 210.74Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 73.74Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -4.43Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1099, 6620, 10063

/ 100 compat

Projected

27 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1099, 6620, 10063

Auto

7.8 28%

Teleop

5.3 19%

Endgame

15.1 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3467, 5422, 5902

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 5422, 5902

Auto

37.2 14%

Teleop

161.5 59%

Endgame

75.7 28%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score27pts

Blue projected score280.1pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -253.1
Score range: -1–308
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 153.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.3Season APEX540

7.8Auto37.2

5.3Teleop161.5

15.1Endgame75.7

16Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	15
teleop	6	132
endgame	3	88
foul	0	0
total	9	235

Result

Final score

9 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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