Qualification · Qualification 29
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
64.29 – 0
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
91 – 85
Prediction correct · off by 55.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 42.4Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 15.31Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 6.58Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -49.47Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 11.48Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 23.75Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9729, 3566, 3464
36
/ 100 compatProjected
64.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9729, 3566, 3464
Auto
16.6 24%
Teleop
46.6 68%
Endgame
5.0 7%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1099, 175, 663
7
/ 100 compatProjected
-14.2 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1099, 175, 663
Auto
18.4 0%
Teleop
-27.8 100%
Endgame
-9.4 50%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score64.3pts
Blue projected score-14.2pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 64.3
- Score range
- -23–87
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
240.7Season APEX236.6
16.6Auto18.4
46.6Teleop-27.8
5Endgame-9.4
32Consistency131
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 29 |
| teleop | 31 | 35 |
| endgame | 33 | 21 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 91 | 85 |
Result
Final score
91 – 85
Prediction correct · off by 55.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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