Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

246.96 – 84.32

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 7

Prediction correct · off by 55.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 507 ±9.4

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 37.99Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 112.51Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 96.46Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.3 ±11

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX -27.73Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 49.27Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 62.78Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4905, 4909, 1119

/ 100 compat

Projected

247 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4905, 4909, 1119

Auto

35.7 15%

Teleop

136.0 58%

Endgame

64.6 27%

Strengths

· 4909 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3182, 6620, 1071

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3182, 6620, 1071

Auto

17.3 22%

Teleop

48.7 61%

Endgame

14.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score247pts

Blue projected score84.3pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.6
Score range: 62–269
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 123.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507Season APEX249.3

35.7Auto17.3

136Teleop48.7

64.6Endgame14

3Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	2
teleop	108	3
endgame	66	2
foul	5	0
total	214	7

Result

Final score

214 – 7

Prediction correct · off by 55.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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