Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.05 – 53.65

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

283 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 91.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 508 ±10.8

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 134.5Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3464Sim-City

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 0Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 16.55Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±12.2

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 61Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX -12.91Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10393Foxborough High School

Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 5.56Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3467, 3464, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 3464, 1735

Auto

13.5 10%

Teleop

86.2 62%

Endgame

39.1 28%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 157, 10063, 10393

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 157, 10063, 10393

Auto

-5.9 0%

Teleop

42.9 75%

Endgame

19.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.1pts

Blue projected score53.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.4
Score range: 32–173
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 388 vs event baseline 121.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

508Season APEX239.2

13.5Auto-5.9

86.2Teleop42.9

39.1Endgame19.9

76Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	21
teleop	149	52
endgame	86	32
foul	0	0
total	283	105

Result

Final score

283 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 91.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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