Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.24 – 81.61

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 51.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.9 ±12.2

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 12.87Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9729Knights

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 63.81Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 45.56Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.9 ±10

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 105.56Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX -27.75Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 3.8Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3566, 9729, 2064

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3566, 9729, 2064

Auto

19.8 17%

Teleop

67.7 59%

Endgame

27.8 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4909, 10063, 5902

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4909, 10063, 5902

Auto

10.4 15%

Teleop

26.4 39%

Endgame

31.2 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.2pts

Blue projected score81.6pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.6
Score range: 60–144
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 120.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.9Season APEX310.9

19.8Auto10.4

67.7Teleop26.4

27.8Endgame31.2

23Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	16
teleop	33	84
endgame	10	43
foul	15	5
total	85	148

Result

Final score

85 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 51.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.