Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
35.13 – 102.1
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
48 – 17
Prediction missed · off by 49 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 314 ±11.7
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX -11.78Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX -5.28Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 52.19Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 101.37Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 12.08Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70Event APEX -11.35Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9644, 3464, 157
23
/ 100 compatProjected
35.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9644, 3464, 157
Auto
7.0 25%
Teleop
25.5 90%
Endgame
-4.2 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6620, 10393, 3182
46
/ 100 compatProjected
102.1 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6620, 10393, 3182
Auto
9.4 9%
Teleop
78.5 74%
Endgame
18.6 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score35.1pts
Blue projected score102.1pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -67
- Score range
- 12–125
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
314Season APEX210.9
7Auto9.4
25.5Teleop78.5
-4.2Endgame18.6
133Consistency56
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 7 |
| teleop | 23 | 9 |
| endgame | 19 | 1 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 48 | 17 |
Result
Final score
48 – 17
Prediction missed · off by 49 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.