Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

192.98 – 132.6

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

130 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310 ±10.7

5347Gryphons

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 34.45Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 62.18Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 96.35Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335.8 ±10.4

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 19.21Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 15.06Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 98.33Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5347, 2064, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

193 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5347, 2064, 4909

Auto

33.8 17%

Teleop

117.0 59%

Endgame

46.5 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1735, 3623, 5422

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1735, 3623, 5422

Auto

16.2 12%

Teleop

72.9 56%

Endgame

41.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score193pts

Blue projected score132.6pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.4
Score range: 109–217
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 130.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310Season APEX335.8

33.8Auto16.2

117Teleop72.9

46.5Endgame41.2

44Consistency183

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	19
teleop	62	14
endgame	34	5
foul	0	0
total	130	38

Result

Final score

130 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.