Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.22 – 119.19

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487.2 ±10.5

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX -18.07Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 15.83Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 25.46Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 499.1 ±10

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX -15.64Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 0.7Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 134.13Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9644, 663, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9644, 663, 4905

Auto

2.9 19%

Teleop

2.8 19%

Endgame

9.4 62%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 175, 5902, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 175, 5902, 3467

Auto

13.2 12%

Teleop

51.7 45%

Endgame

48.9 43%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.2pts

Blue projected score119.2pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96
Score range: 0–142
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 125.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487.2Season APEX499.1

2.9Auto13.2

2.8Teleop51.7

9.4Endgame48.9

74Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	23
teleop	28	35
endgame	14	49
foul	0	45
total	65	152

Result

Final score

65 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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