Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

16.33 – 123.57

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 59.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±11

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 1.57Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 16.09Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX -1.33Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338.1 ±11.7

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 88.88Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 51.14Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3464Sim-City

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX -16.45Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1735, 157, 3623

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1735, 157, 3623

Auto

-1.1 0%

Teleop

-10.4 0%

Endgame

12.3 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5422, 1071, 3464

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5422, 1071, 3464

Auto

11.9 10%

Teleop

79.6 65%

Endgame

30.3 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score16.3pts

Blue projected score123.6pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.2
Score range: -7–147
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 259 vs event baseline 125.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.6Season APEX338.1

-1.1Auto11.9

-10.4Teleop79.6

12.3Endgame30.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	21
teleop	41	108
endgame	20	35
foul	10	0
total	95	164

Result

Final score

95 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 59.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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