Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

23.78 – 11.97

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

82 – 2

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.7 ±11

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 14.6Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 5.04Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 4.14Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.4 ±12.2

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 14.6Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 16.29Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -18.92Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 663, 3566, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 663, 3566, 4905

Auto

3.3 17%

Teleop

7.5 38%

Endgame

8.7 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 157, 8708, 1099

/ 100 compat

Projected

12 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 157, 8708, 1099

Auto

14.5 100%

Teleop

-1.0 0%

Endgame

-7.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.8pts

Blue projected score12pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.8
Score range: -10–46
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 84 vs event baseline 121.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417.7Season APEX186.4

3.3Auto14.5

7.5Teleop-1

8.7Endgame-7.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	0
teleop	43	2
endgame	22	0
foul	0	0
total	82	2

Result

Final score

82 – 2

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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