Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.83 – 276.59

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 46.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 585.3 ±11.7

8808SWLA Tech Pirates

Season APEX 223.6Event APEX 119.96Rank 3Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3937Breakaway

Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 146.97Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1421Team CHAOS

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 50.9Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 527.6 ±12.2

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 130.21Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7094Alpha Omega

Season APEX 111.3Event APEX 38.94Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 107.44Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8808, 3937, 1421

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 8808, 3937, 1421

Auto

39.6 13%

Teleop

183.6 60%

Endgame

82.1 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4087, 7094, 3753

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4087, 7094, 3753

Auto

49.1 18%

Teleop

167.0 61%

Endgame

58.3 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score317.8pts

Blue projected score276.6pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.2
Score range: 245–350
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 501 vs event baseline 178.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

585.3Season APEX527.6

39.6Auto49.1

183.6Teleop167

82.1Endgame58.3

37Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	51
teleop	133	126
endgame	82	32
foul	15	15
total	277	224

Result

Final score

277 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 46.7 pts

Match videos

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