Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

296.34 – 228.74

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.6 ±12.2

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 136.93Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7094Alpha Omega

Season APEX 111.3Event APEX 45.48Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 113.93Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 492.1 ±12.2

3039Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 167Event APEX 117.9Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 76.72Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10101Critical Hit

Season APEX 156.1Event APEX 34.12Rank 18Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4087, 7094, 3753

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.3 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4087, 7094, 3753

Auto

49.5 17%

Teleop

182.4 62%

Endgame

61.0 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3039, 10217, 10101

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.7 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3039, 10217, 10101

Auto

31.5 14%

Teleop

148.8 67%

Endgame

40.7 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score296.3pts

Blue projected score228.7pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.6
Score range: 198–327
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 172.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.6Season APEX492.1

49.5Auto31.5

182.4Teleop148.8

61Endgame40.7

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	33
teleop	126	112
endgame	57	55
foul	0	0
total	232	200

Result

Final score

232 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 pts

Match videos

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