Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

279.38 – 309.2

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

276 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.6 ±12.2

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 131.53Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7094Alpha Omega

Season APEX 111.3Event APEX 40.25Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 107.6Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 538.3 ±11

3824HVA RoHAWKtics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 60.29Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

16Bomb Squad

Season APEX 198.9Event APEX 127.97Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3478PrepaTec - LamBot

Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 120.94Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4087, 7094, 3753

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.4 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4087, 7094, 3753

Auto

50.0 18%

Teleop

161.5 59%

Endgame

63.6 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3824, 16, 3478

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.2 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3824, 16, 3478

Auto

45.6 15%

Teleop

160.9 54%

Endgame

89.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score279.4pts

Blue projected score309.2pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.8
Score range: 246–342
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 607 vs event baseline 185.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.6Season APEX538.3

50Auto45.6

161.5Teleop160.9

63.6Endgame89.5

6Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	67
teleop	107	214
endgame	105	50
foul	0	0
total	276	331

Result

Final score

276 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 pts

Match videos

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