Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.62 – 256.77

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

339 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 61.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.6 ±12.2

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 127.48Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7094Alpha Omega

Season APEX 111.3Event APEX 35.04Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 103.1Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.7 ±14.5

7072O.G.R.E. (Opelika's Greatest Robotics Engineers)

Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 82.51Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

456Siege Robotics

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 72.97Rank 22Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3616Team Phenomena

Season APEX 128.4Event APEX 101.29Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4087, 7094, 3753

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4087, 7094, 3753

Auto

49.5 19%

Teleop

159.3 61%

Endgame

51.6 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7072, 456, 3616

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7072, 456, 3616

Auto

51.3 21%

Teleop

130.6 52%

Endgame

66.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score265.6pts

Blue projected score256.8pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.9
Score range: 225–298
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 645 vs event baseline 180.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.6Season APEX339.7

49.5Auto51.3

159.3Teleop130.6

51.6Endgame66.9

13Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	58
teleop	173	149
endgame	114	94
foul	0	5
total	339	306

Result

Final score

339 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 61.3 pts

Match videos

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