Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
72.94 – 53.77
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
53 – 47
Prediction correct · off by 13.4 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.1 ±16.4
9708Supersonic Circuit Breakers
Provisional
Season APEX 117.9Event APEX -Rank 15Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 217.7Event APEX -Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX -Rank 31Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.5 ±14.5
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX -Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 5.14Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9708, 4087, 9405
50
/ 100 compatProjected
72.9 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 9708, 4087, 9405
Auto
21.9 30%
Teleop
36.5 50%
Endgame
14.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2080, 3824, 5863
44
/ 100 compatProjected
53.8 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 2080, 3824, 5863
Auto
16.9 31%
Teleop
26.3 49%
Endgame
10.6 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score72.9pts
Blue projected score53.8pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 19.2
- Score range
- 28–99
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
410.1Season APEX273.5
-Auto2.3
-Teleop2
-Endgame0.9
-Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 12 |
| teleop | 20 | 20 |
| endgame | 0 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 53 | 47 |
Result
Final score
53 – 47
Prediction correct · off by 13.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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