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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

7474

50%50%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118144

Prediction missed · off by 57 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.3 ±20
Season APEX 39.9Event APEX -Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 128.4Event APEX -Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65Event APEX -Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219 ±18.2
Season APEX 50.5Event APEX -Rank 33Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 100.6Event APEX -Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 67.9Event APEX -Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10550, 3616, 11342
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
74 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 10550, 3616, 11342
Auto
22.2 30%
Teleop
37.0 50%
Endgame
14.8 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2221, 7072, 11260
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
74 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 2221, 7072, 11260
Auto
22.2 30%
Teleop
37.0 50%
Endgame
14.8 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score74pts
Blue projected score74pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
0
Score range
47101
Upset likelihood
50%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 148.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.3Season APEX219
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5121
teleop3976
endgame2842
foul05
total118144

Result

Final score

118144

Prediction missed · off by 57 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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