Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
67.21 – 67.21
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
232 – 227
Prediction correct · off by 162.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 671.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 200.2Event APEX -Rank 11Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 223.6Event APEX -Rank 3Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX -Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.8 ±12.9
Season APEX 214.6Event APEX -Rank 10Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116Event APEX -Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX -Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 364, 8808, 3478
50
/ 100 compatProjected
67.2 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 364, 8808, 3478
Auto
20.2 30%
Teleop
33.6 50%
Endgame
13.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3284, 2183, 4336
50
/ 100 compatProjected
67.2 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 3284, 2183, 4336
Auto
20.2 30%
Teleop
33.6 50%
Endgame
13.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score67.2pts
Blue projected score67.2pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 43–91
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
671.5Season APEX427.8
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 38 |
| teleop | 142 | 107 |
| endgame | 66 | 72 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 232 | 227 |
Result
Final score
232 – 227
Prediction correct · off by 162.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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