Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.35 – 176.16

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257 ±19.3

9787Fathom Robotics

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 3.11Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

5863Hypercubed

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 20.3Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7288NOMMA D3V1LB0TS

Provisional

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 15.94Rank 36Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397 ±16.9

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 138.41Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10497Bayou Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 5.09Rank 39Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

2221FHS Robodawgs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 32.66Rank 33Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9787, 5863, 7288

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9787, 5863, 7288

Auto

20.0 48%

Teleop

9.9 24%

Endgame

11.9 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2992, 10497, 2221

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.2 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2992, 10497, 2221

Auto

28.8 17%

Teleop

101.9 59%

Endgame

41.3 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score39.4pts

Blue projected score176.2pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.8
Score range: 9–206
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 168.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257Season APEX397

20Auto28.8

9.9Teleop101.9

11.9Endgame41.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	35
teleop	0	97
endgame	6	37
foul	0	15
total	25	184

Result

Final score

25 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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