Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.13 – 267.17

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.8 ±22.5

6068Delta Overload

Provisional

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 24.66Rank 43Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9660Delgado Community College Dolphinbots

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 27.13Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9761LSMSA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 19.34Rank 51Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 527.2 ±15.2

11342StingVille Robotics Team

Provisional

Season APEX 65Event APEX 3.91Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

364Team Fusion 364

Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 60.16Rank 11Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4635PrepaTec - Botbusters

Season APEX 262Event APEX 203.1Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6068, 9660, 9761

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.1 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6068, 9660, 9761

Auto

24.7 36%

Teleop

30.3 44%

Endgame

14.0 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11342, 364, 4635

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.2 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11342, 364, 4635

Auto

62.9 24%

Teleop

158.4 59%

Endgame

45.6 17%

Strengths

· 4635 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score71.1pts

Blue projected score267.2pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -196
Score range: 41–297
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 393 vs event baseline 168.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.8Season APEX527.2

24.7Auto62.9

30.3Teleop158.4

14Endgame45.6

48Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	65
teleop	5	206
endgame	10	67
foul	10	15
total	40	353

Result

Final score

40 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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