Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
363.64 – 371.13
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
353 – 347
Prediction missed · off by 17.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 589.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 115.23Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167Event APEX 122.12Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 223.6Event APEX 126.29Rank 3Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 141.23Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 151.66Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 78.24Rank 22Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3753, 3039, 8808
80
/ 100 compatProjected
363.6 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 3753, 3039, 8808
Auto
50.3 14%
Teleop
215.2 60%
Endgame
91.8 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4087, 3937, 456
79
/ 100 compatProjected
371.1 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 4087, 3937, 456
Auto
78.0 22%
Teleop
219.7 62%
Endgame
56.9 16%
Strengths
- · 3937 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score363.6pts
Blue projected score371.1pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -7.5
- Score range
- 334–401
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Match context
Upset
Close match
High scoring
Combined score 700 vs event baseline 165.1.
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
589.2Season APEX592.2
50.3Auto78
215.2Teleop219.7
91.8Endgame56.9
29Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 38 |
| teleop | 192 | 196 |
| endgame | 97 | 108 |
| foul | 30 | 5 |
| total | 353 | 347 |
Result
Final score
353 – 347
Prediction missed · off by 17.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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