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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

363.64371.13

48%52%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353347

Prediction missed · off by 17.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 589.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 115.23Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167Event APEX 122.12Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 223.6Event APEX 126.29Rank 3Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 141.23Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 151.66Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 78.24Rank 22Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3753, 3039, 8808
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
363.6 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 3753, 3039, 8808
Auto
50.3 14%
Teleop
215.2 60%
Endgame
91.8 26%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4087, 3937, 456
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
371.1 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 4087, 3937, 456
Auto
78.0 22%
Teleop
219.7 62%
Endgame
56.9 16%
Strengths
  • · 3937 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score363.6pts
Blue projected score371.1pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-7.5
Score range
334401
Upset likelihood
48%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match
High scoring

Combined score 700 vs event baseline 165.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

589.2Season APEX592.2
50.3Auto78
215.2Teleop219.7
91.8Endgame56.9
29Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3438
teleop192196
endgame97108
foul305
total353347

Result

Final score

353347

Prediction missed · off by 17.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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