Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

59.97 – 37.03

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.7 ±22.5

10446Circuitron

Provisional

Season APEX 80Event APEX 21.18Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11260Ursuline Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 32.28Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10497Bayou Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 6.51Rank 39Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.5 ±20

1818Team Talos

Provisional

Season APEX 114.9Event APEX 18.81Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3468MAGNAtech Rebels

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 9.18Rank 30Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9708Supersonic Circuit Breakers

Provisional

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 9.04Rank 15Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10446, 11260, 10497

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10446, 11260, 10497

Auto

12.9 22%

Teleop

42.2 71%

Endgame

4.2 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1818, 3468, 9708

/ 100 compat

Projected

37 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1818, 3468, 9708

Auto

17.4 55%

Teleop

21.9 70%

Endgame

-7.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score60pts

Blue projected score37pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.9
Score range: 7–90
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 132 vs event baseline 168.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.7Season APEX315.5

12.9Auto17.4

42.2Teleop21.9

4.2Endgame-7.8

36Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	27
teleop	18	43
endgame	7	20
foul	0	0
total	42	90

Result

Final score

42 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 35.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.