Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

217.95 – 323.44

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

343 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 74.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.1 ±12.4

3478PrepaTec - LamBot

Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 92.38Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2221FHS Robodawgs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 16.3Rank 33Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

16Bomb Squad

Season APEX 198.9Event APEX 109.27Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 682.6 ±10.4

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 132.3Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

364Team Fusion 364

Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 54.68Rank 11Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 136.46Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3478, 2221, 16

/ 100 compat

Projected

218 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3478, 2221, 16

Auto

33.0 15%

Teleop

115.9 53%

Endgame

68.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2992, 364, 4087

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2992, 364, 4087

Auto

64.0 20%

Teleop

197.3 60%

Endgame

65.3 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score218pts

Blue projected score323.4pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -105.5
Score range: 188–353
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 690 vs event baseline 166.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.1Season APEX682.6

33Auto64

115.9Teleop197.3

68.1Endgame65.3

86Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	70
teleop	177	218
endgame	97	59
foul	30	0
total	343	347

Result

Final score

343 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 74.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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