Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.17 – 151.82

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

14 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.2 ±20.5

11342StingVille Robotics Team

Provisional

Season APEX 65Event APEX 9.99Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9768ROBOKNIGHTS

Provisional

Season APEX 25.2Event APEX 8.29Rank 52Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9717Poultronix

Season APEX 105Event APEX 42.89Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.8 ±15

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 63.55Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 21.1Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

7094Alpha Omega

Season APEX 111.3Event APEX 67.17Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11342, 9768, 9717

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11342, 9768, 9717

Auto

27.8 59%

Teleop

15.4 33%

Endgame

3.7 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4336, 2080, 7094

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4336, 2080, 7094

Auto

38.3 26%

Teleop

68.3 46%

Endgame

43.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score61.2pts

Blue projected score151.8pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90.6
Score range: 31–182
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 171 vs event baseline 167.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

195.2Season APEX293.8

27.8Auto38.3

15.4Teleop68.3

3.7Endgame43.2

79Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	31
teleop	0	91
endgame	0	35
foul	0	0
total	14	157

Result

Final score

14 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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