Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

168.35 – 603.29

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

110 – 547

Prediction correct · off by 57.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.4 ±17.7

7288NOMMA D3V1LB0TS

Provisional

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 19.54Rank 36Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 32.36Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

3616Team Phenomena

Season APEX 128.4Event APEX 116.45Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 801.8 ±9.3

16Bomb Squad

Season APEX 198.9Event APEX 116.91Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4635PrepaTec - Botbusters

Season APEX 262Event APEX 238.17Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 248.21Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7288, 2080, 3616

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7288, 2080, 3616

Auto

50.0 29%

Teleop

79.5 47%

Endgame

40.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 16, 4635, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

603.3 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 16, 4635, 8044

Auto

93.3 16%

Teleop

353.0 59%

Endgame

153.8 26%

Strengths

· 8044 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score168.4pts

Blue projected score603.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -434.9
Score range: 138–633
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 657 vs event baseline 166.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.4Season APEX801.8

50Auto93.3

79.5Teleop353

40.8Endgame153.8

62Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	136
teleop	35	264
endgame	32	147
foul	5	0
total	110	547

Result

Final score

110 – 547

Prediction correct · off by 57.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.