Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.65 – 85.31

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

115 – 88

Prediction missed · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.9 ±18.2

9768ROBOKNIGHTS

Provisional

Season APEX 25.2Event APEX -4.21Rank 52Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

2221FHS Robodawgs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 8.7Rank 33Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 45.16Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.3 ±19.3

9761LSMSA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 10.33Rank 51Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

1818Team Talos

Provisional

Season APEX 114.9Event APEX 5.66Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 69.32Rank 10Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9768, 2221, 4336

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.7 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9768, 2221, 4336

Auto

5.6 11%

Teleop

33.2 64%

Endgame

12.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9761, 1818, 3284

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9761, 1818, 3284

Auto

27.8 32%

Teleop

64.4 74%

Endgame

-5.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score49.7pts

Blue projected score85.3pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.7
Score range: 20–115
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 168.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.9Season APEX386.3

5.6Auto27.8

33.2Teleop64.4

12.8Endgame-5.5

79Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	28
teleop	54	44
endgame	25	16
foul	5	0
total	115	88

Result

Final score

115 – 88

Prediction missed · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.