Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.9 – 226.14

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 352

Prediction correct · off by 69.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.4 ±20

1055035 Soaring Roneagles

Provisional

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX -31.06Rank 50Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9660Delgado Community College Dolphinbots

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 37.14Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7094Alpha Omega

Season APEX 111.3Event APEX 64.82Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 481.2 ±13.5

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 113.74Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5863Hypercubed

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 15.04Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3039Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 167Event APEX 97.36Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10550, 9660, 7094

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10550, 9660, 7094

Auto

35.0 49%

Teleop

16.7 23%

Endgame

19.6 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4087, 5863, 3039

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4087, 5863, 3039

Auto

46.5 21%

Teleop

149.3 67%

Endgame

25.7 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score70.9pts

Blue projected score226.1pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -155.2
Score range: 41–256
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 169.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.4Season APEX481.2

35Auto46.5

16.7Teleop149.3

19.6Endgame25.7

76Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	74
teleop	39	200
endgame	17	78
foul	0	0
total	84	352

Result

Final score

84 – 352

Prediction correct · off by 69.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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