Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

291.87 – 151.69

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

313 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 633 ±10.4

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 79.18Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3937Breakaway

Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 167.23Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

364Team Fusion 364

Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 45.46Rank 11Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.8 ±14.5

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 32.29Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

7072O.G.R.E. (Opelika's Greatest Robotics Engineers)

Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 92.97Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1902Exploding Bacon

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 26.43Rank 35Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10217, 3937, 364

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.9 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10217, 3937, 364

Auto

35.1 12%

Teleop

196.5 67%

Endgame

62.9 21%

Strengths

· 3937 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2080, 7072, 1902

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2080, 7072, 1902

Auto

22.6 16%

Teleop

74.8 53%

Endgame

43.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score291.9pts

Blue projected score151.7pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 140.2
Score range: 122–322
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 165.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

633Season APEX375.8

35.1Auto22.6

196.5Teleop74.8

62.9Endgame43.9

0Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	33
teleop	182	56
endgame	68	47
foul	0	20
total	313	156

Result

Final score

313 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.