Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
112.69 – 111.38
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
101 – 200
Prediction missed · off by 50.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.3 ±18.2
Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 14.34Rank 48Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 105Event APEX 64.5Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89
10497Bayou Bots
Provisional
Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 33.85Rank 39Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.7 ±19.3
9660Delgado Community College Dolphinbots
Provisional
Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 27.57Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
9699Bayou Crusaders
Provisional
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 20.05Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 63.76Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5887, 9717, 10497
45
/ 100 compatProjected
112.7 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 5887, 9717, 10497
Auto
23.3 22%
Teleop
73.3 69%
Endgame
10.4 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9660, 9699, 3478
42
/ 100 compatProjected
111.4 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 9660, 9699, 3478
Auto
6.2 6%
Teleop
67.0 61%
Endgame
36.5 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score112.7pts
Blue projected score111.4pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 1.3
- Score range
- 81–143
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
240.3Season APEX409.7
23.3Auto6.2
73.3Teleop67
10.4Endgame36.5
84Consistency57
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 50 |
| teleop | 42 | 98 |
| endgame | 42 | 52 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 101 | 200 |
Result
Final score
101 – 200
Prediction missed · off by 50.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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