Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

314.72 – 117.86

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

303 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 573.6 ±12.4

8808SWLA Tech Pirates

Season APEX 223.6Event APEX 122.03Rank 3Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 164.3Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 28.39Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.1 ±20.5

10446Circuitron

Provisional

Season APEX 80Event APEX 18.84Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10943WJH RoboStangs

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 71.09Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

9660Delgado Community College Dolphinbots

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 27.93Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8808, 2992, 2080

/ 100 compat

Projected

314.7 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8808, 2992, 2080

Auto

49.8 16%

Teleop

203.2 65%

Endgame

61.3 20%

Strengths

· 2992 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10446, 10943, 9660

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10446, 10943, 9660

Auto

22.7 18%

Teleop

82.2 65%

Endgame

20.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score314.7pts

Blue projected score117.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 196.9
Score range: 88–345
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 164.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

573.6Season APEX226.1

49.8Auto22.7

203.2Teleop82.2

61.3Endgame20.8

130Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	13
teleop	133	12
endgame	86	17
foul	10	5
total	303	47

Result

Final score

303 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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