Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

143.77 – 136.74

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

293 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 96.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.5 ±15.5

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 97.1Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 55.94Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9699Bayou Crusaders

Provisional

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX -9.27Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.4 ±22.5

6068Delta Overload

Provisional

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 45.7Rank 43Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11342StingVille Robotics Team

Provisional

Season APEX 65Event APEX 28.37Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11276Kenner BruhBots

Provisional

Season APEX 90.6Event APEX 62.67Rank 32Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4087, 10217, 9699

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.8 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4087, 10217, 9699

Auto

29.9 21%

Teleop

102.9 73%

Endgame

8.7 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6068, 11342, 11276

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6068, 11342, 11276

Auto

53.0 39%

Teleop

67.0 49%

Endgame

17.0 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score143.8pts

Blue projected score136.7pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7
Score range: 108–173
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 386 vs event baseline 159.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.5Season APEX199.4

29.9Auto53

102.9Teleop67

8.7Endgame17

9Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	36
teleop	186	20
endgame	66	22
foul	0	15
total	293	93

Result

Final score

293 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 96.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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