Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.87 – 5.22

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 43 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.5 ±19.7

1818Team Talos

Provisional

Season APEX 114.9Event APEX 42Rank 26Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

5965Power Struck Girls

Provisional

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 27.03Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

2183Tigerbots

Season APEX 116Event APEX 47.84Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.5 ±18.2

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 19.5Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

9313ROBOhana

Season APEX 83Event APEX -2.72Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

6489Bronco Bolts

Provisional

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX -11.56Rank 47Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1818, 5965, 2183

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.9 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1818, 5965, 2183

Auto

29.9 31%

Teleop

47.2 50%

Endgame

18.0 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2080, 9313, 6489

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2080, 9313, 6489

Auto

-1.9 0%

Teleop

3.8 40%

Endgame

7.6 80%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score116.9pts

Blue projected score5.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.7
Score range: -24–146
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 162.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.5Season APEX242.5

29.9Auto-1.9

47.2Teleop3.8

18Endgame7.6

0Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	11
teleop	82	21
endgame	42	5
foul	0	5
total	166	42

Result

Final score

166 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 43 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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