Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
196.68 – 32.59
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
389 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 115.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.4 ±16.6
Season APEX 262Event APEX 174.26Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 37.93Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92
9660Delgado Community College Dolphinbots
Provisional
Season APEX 77.2Event APEX -15.51Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.3 ±18.2
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 36.2Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 20.23Rank 33Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86
9708Supersonic Circuit Breakers
Provisional
Season APEX 117.9Event APEX -23.84Rank 15Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4635, 4336, 9660
77
/ 100 compatProjected
196.7 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 4635, 4336, 9660
Auto
34.3 17%
Teleop
122.0 59%
Endgame
49.6 24%
Strengths
- · 4635 anchors offense
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10943, 2221, 9708
24
/ 100 compatProjected
32.6 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 10943, 2221, 9708
Auto
8.3 19%
Teleop
9.4 22%
Endgame
25.0 59%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score196.7pts
Blue projected score32.6pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 164.1
- Score range
- 4–226
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
436.4Season APEX237.3
34.3Auto8.3
122Teleop9.4
49.6Endgame25
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 70 | 13 |
| teleop | 230 | 29 |
| endgame | 89 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 389 | 71 |
Result
Final score
389 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 115.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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