Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

199.75 – 179.45

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

189 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 496.2 ±12.9

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 109.87Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 88.43Rank 10Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9313ROBOhana

Season APEX 83Event APEX 1.45Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273 ±20.5

11276Kenner BruhBots

Provisional

Season APEX 90.6Event APEX 79.75Rank 32Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10497Bayou Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 52.57Rank 39Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7072O.G.R.E. (Opelika's Greatest Robotics Engineers)

Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 47.13Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3753, 3284, 9313

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3753, 3284, 9313

Auto

35.4 18%

Teleop

116.2 59%

Endgame

45.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11276, 10497, 7072

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.5 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11276, 10497, 7072

Auto

43.5 24%

Teleop

99.8 54%

Endgame

41.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score199.8pts

Blue projected score179.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.3
Score range: 151–228
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 153.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

496.2Season APEX273

35.4Auto43.5

116.2Teleop99.8

45Endgame41.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	43
teleop	101	102
endgame	52	39
foul	5	0
total	189	184

Result

Final score

189 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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