Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.48 – 75.65

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

430 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 172.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 714.7 ±10.5

10101Critical Hit

Season APEX 156.1Event APEX 35.93Rank 18Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 115.67Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 9.88Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 301 ±17.3

9717Poultronix

Season APEX 105Event APEX 10.39Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10446Circuitron

Provisional

Season APEX 80Event APEX 10.78Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

2183Tigerbots

Season APEX 116Event APEX 54.48Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10101, 8044, 4087

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.5 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10101, 8044, 4087

Auto

41.6 26%

Teleop

72.0 45%

Endgame

46.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9717, 10446, 2183

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9717, 10446, 2183

Auto

5.9 10%

Teleop

21.5 36%

Endgame

33.0 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score161.5pts

Blue projected score75.7pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.8
Score range: 49–188
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 583 vs event baseline 147.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

714.7Season APEX301

41.6Auto5.9

72Teleop21.5

46Endgame33

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	50
teleop	262	66
endgame	53	22
foul	5	15
total	430	153

Result

Final score

430 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 172.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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