Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.85 – 127.77

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 35 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.5 ±17.3

3824HVA RoHAWKtics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 22.06Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9660Delgado Community College Dolphinbots

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX -13.72Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7072O.G.R.E. (Opelika's Greatest Robotics Engineers)

Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 40.51Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.8 ±17.7

7288NOMMA D3V1LB0TS

Provisional

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 35.77Rank 36Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 64.86Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1421Team CHAOS

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 27.14Rank 41Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3824, 9660, 7072

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3824, 9660, 7072

Auto

10.1 23%

Teleop

18.2 41%

Endgame

15.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7288, 4336, 1421

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7288, 4336, 1421

Auto

27.5 22%

Teleop

55.1 44%

Endgame

41.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score48.8pts

Blue projected score127.8pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.9
Score range: 21–156
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 197 vs event baseline 153.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.5Season APEX264.8

10.1Auto27.5

18.2Teleop55.1

15.7Endgame41.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	19
teleop	49	48
endgame	17	36
foul	0	0
total	94	103

Result

Final score

94 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 35 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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