Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.89 – 98.5

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 96.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236 ±17.7

7094Alpha Omega

Season APEX 111.3Event APEX 27.89Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6489Bronco Bolts

Provisional

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 8.86Rank 47Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

2221FHS Robodawgs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 41.14Rank 33Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 474.4 ±15.5

8808SWLA Tech Pirates

Season APEX 223.6Event APEX 68.68Rank 3Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 34Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10497Bayou Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX -4.18Rank 39Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7094, 6489, 2221

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7094, 6489, 2221

Auto

17.9 24%

Teleop

37.1 49%

Endgame

21.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8808, 10217, 10497

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8808, 10217, 10497

Auto

10.5 12%

Teleop

52.9 59%

Endgame

26.2 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score77.9pts

Blue projected score98.5pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.6
Score range: 51–126
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 369 vs event baseline 150.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236Season APEX474.4

17.9Auto10.5

37.1Teleop52.9

21.1Endgame26.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	56
teleop	41	191
endgame	23	36
foul	0	5
total	81	288

Result

Final score

81 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 96.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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