Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
208.86 – 25.99
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
174 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 350.2 ±13.9
Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 28.86Rank 30Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 36.86Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 143.14Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 159.8 ±21.4
6068Delta Overload
Provisional
Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 14Rank 43Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
9768ROBOKNIGHTS
Provisional
Season APEX 25.2Event APEX 1.42Rank 52Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 10.57Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3468, 10943, 3753
89
/ 100 compatProjected
208.9 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3468, 10943, 3753
Auto
36.6 18%
Teleop
118.6 57%
Endgame
52.3 25%
Strengths
- · 3753 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6068, 9768, 9787
33
/ 100 compatProjected
26 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 6068, 9768, 9787
Auto
10.3 40%
Teleop
11.5 44%
Endgame
4.2 16%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score208.9pts
Blue projected score26pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 182.9
- Score range
- 2–233
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
350.2Season APEX159.8
36.6Auto10.3
118.6Teleop11.5
52.3Endgame4.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 18 |
| teleop | 124 | 21 |
| endgame | 26 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 174 | 48 |
Result
Final score
174 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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