Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

14.2 – 15.76

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 5.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 203.5 ±20.5

10497Bayou Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 11.39Rank 39Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

5863Hypercubed

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 13.68Rank 42Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

9768ROBOKNIGHTS

Provisional

Season APEX 25.2Event APEX -10.87Rank 52Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.3 ±20.5

9456Nunez Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 1.95Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10446Circuitron

Provisional

Season APEX 80Event APEX 24.16Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9309Metal Mages

Season APEX 72.5Event APEX -10.35Rank 40Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10497, 5863, 9768

/ 100 compat

Projected

14.2 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10497, 5863, 9768

Auto

13.1 100%

Teleop

8.2 71%

Endgame

-9.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9456, 10446, 9309

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.8 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9456, 10446, 9309

Auto

13.8 100%

Teleop

-5.1 0%

Endgame

-5.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score14.2pts

Blue projected score15.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.6
Score range: -20–50
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 41 vs event baseline 189.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

203.5Season APEX202.3

13.1Auto13.8

8.2Teleop-5.1

-9.7Endgame-5.6

57Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	2
teleop	7	16
endgame	3	0
foul	0	5
total	18	23

Result

Final score

18 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 5.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.