Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
244.49 – 265.82
43%57%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 552.7 ±11.4
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 128.95Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.5Event APEX 18.3Rank 14Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 97.24Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 589.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 113.39Rank 5Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 46.14Rank 12Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 106.29Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4272, 3814, 1720
80
/ 100 compatProjected
244.5 pts
~1.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4272, 3814, 1720
Auto
37.1 15%
Teleop
151.5 62%
Endgame
56.5 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1501, 447, 2783
87
/ 100 compatProjected
265.8 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1501, 447, 2783
Auto
61.3 23%
Teleop
137.9 52%
Endgame
64.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score244.5pts
Blue projected score265.8pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample68alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -21.3
- Score range
- 213–297
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
552.7Season APEX589.9
37.1Auto61.3
151.5Teleop137.9
56.5Endgame64.1
85Consistency64
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.